Logical Fallacies
Conclusions drawn from samples that are too few or from samples that are not truly representative.
What is Hasty Generalization?
A person uses a number of generally established facts to draw a specific conclusion.
What is Inductive Reasoning?
A measure of how much something is connected to the question at hand and or how much it bears on the issue.
What is Relevance?
A statement that has been demonstrated to be true.
A generality that fails to adequately account for all the complex conditions bearing on a problem.
What is Oversimplification?
A de-biasing tool that allows analysts to question intuitive judgments by identifying a wider range of options for that analyst to consider.
What is Structured Analytic Technique?
Makes sure that all information is correct and free of error(s).
What is accuracy?
What someone believes to be true, but may or may not be true.
What is an Opinion?
Assuming that one event must have caused a later event simply because it happened after the other.
What is Post Hoc?
Goes general to specific and is a form of reasoning where a conclusion is a logical consequence of the premise and can lead to false conclusions if the original premise is inaccurate.
What is deductive reasoning?
A gateway standard that strives to reduce uncertainty in statements and/or information.
What is Clarity?
Conclusions drawn from facts, opinions, or other inferences.
What is Judgement/Inference?
assumption and omission.
What are two types of logical fallacies?
A systematic effort to make explicit and question the assumptions (the mental model) that guide an analyst’s interpretation of evidence and reasoning about any particular problem.
What is Key Assumptions Check?
logical fallacies and biases.
What are analytic pitfalls?
A subjective viewpoint that indicates a preconceived notion about someone or something.
What is a Bias?