Portfolio Strategy
Market Mayhem
California Challenge
Fact or Fiction
Market History

This or That
400

When interest rates rise, this portfolio strategy allows an investor to reinvest maturing securities at higher yields over time. 

What is laddering?

400

When the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, existing fixed-rate bonds generally...

What is increase in value?

400

California has this many counties.

What is 58?

400

A bond held to maturity can still experience significant market value fluctuations before it matures. 

What is Fact ?

400

This event in March 2020 prompted the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to nearly zero and launch massive emergency lending programs.

What is the COVID-19 pandemic? 

400

Which investment generally has the higher yield?

  • U.S. Treasury
  • Corporate Bond

 

What is a Corporate Bond?

800

A portfolio manager expects interest rates to decline over the next 12 months. Within California Government Code, the manager would generally be expected to do this.

What is extend the portfolio maturity (duration)?

800

If unemployment rises while inflation falls toward target, the Fed is generally more likely to...

What is lower interest rates?

800

California produces over 90% of the U.S. supply of this fruit, commonly dried for snacks. 

What are raisins?

800

U.S. Treasury securities have no interest-rate risk.

What is Fiction ?

800

During March 2020, the yield on the 10-year Treasury briefly fell below this level for the first time ever. 

What is 0.50%? 

800

Which would you rather own if you expected rates to rise? 

  • Money Market Fund
  • 5-Year Treasury

What is a Money Market Fund? 

1200

A security offers the highest yield in the portfolio but has a lower credit rating than the agency's policy permits. The manager should.

What is not purchase the security?

1200

The yield curve inverts when...

What is short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates? 

1200

This California reservoir is the largest by water storage capacity.

What is Shasta Lake?

1200

If the Federal Reserve cuts the federal funds rate, all Treasury yields immediately fall by the same amount.

What is Fiction?

1200

This regional bank's collapse in March 2023 became the second-largest bank failure in U.S. history and was largely driven by unrealized losses on long-duration securities combined with a bank run.

What is Silicon Valley Bank? 

1200

Your agency won't need the money for four years, and the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates three times over the next year.  Which would you choose?  

  • Overnight Money Market
  • 5-Year Treasury Ladder

What is 5-Year Treasury Ladder?

1600

The portfolio has adequate liquidity for the next three years. The yield curve is positively sloped. Which maturity range would generally provide the greatest opportunity to lock in higher yields?

What is the longer end of the allowable maturity range (up to five years)? 

1600

Historically, one of the most reliable market indicators preceding many U.S. recessions has been...

What is an inverted yield curve? 

1600

California has this many incorporated cities and towns. 

What is 483?

1600

Money market funds are designed to maintain a stable share price but are not guaranteed by the FDIC.

What is Fact ? 

1600

The Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate from near zero to over 5% in roughly this amount of time.

What is about 16 months (March 2022–July 2023)?

1600

Which has historically been the better predictor of recessions?

  • S&P 500
  • Yield Curve

 

What is the Yield Curve?


2000

A portfolio's duration is 4.2 years. Interest rates immediately fall by 1.00%. Ignoring convexity, approximately how much would the portfolio's market value change?  

What is an increase of approximately 4.2%?  

2000

The Federal Reserve can reduce long-term interest rates without changing the federal funds rate by purchasing longer-term Treasury securities through this type of policy.

What is Quantitative Easing (QE)?

2000

This California county consistently produces the highest total agricultural value in the nation.

What is Tulare County?

2000

Higher interest rates are always bad for bond investors.

What is Fiction?

2000

Despite the 2008 Global Financial Crisis originating in the United States, investors around the world rushed into this asset, driving its yields sharply lower.  

What are U.S. Treasuries? 

2000

Which generally has more liquidity?

  • Treasury
  • Municipal Bond

 

What is a Treasury? 

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