Stage by Stage
Demographic Drivers
Population Challenges
Factors Influencing the DTM in the Caribbean
Criticisms of the DTM
100

In this stage, social changes—such as women’s increased education and access to contraception—lead to declining birth rates.

Stage 3

100

A cultural preference for large families often keeps this rate high in early stages of the DTM.

What is Birth Rate

100

This demographic trend is rising in the Caribbean, especially in Barbados and Cuba, creating pressure on pension systems.

What is population aging

100

The increase in women pursuing higher education and formal employment relates to this major sociological factor that reduces fertilit

What is women's empowerment?

100

A common criticism is that the DTM is based on this region’s historical experience.

What is Western Europ

200

Falling death rates due to improved sanitation and medical care but persisting high birth rates characterize this stage.

What is stage 2

200

This social factor, when improved for girls and women, is one of the strongest predictors of falling fertility rates.

What is Fertility Rates

200

Haiti’s persistently high fertility rate places it in this approximate stage of the DTM.

What is Stage 2

200

The movement of skilled workers abroad affects fertility because it removes people of reproductive age; this is the name of the phenomeno

What is the brain drain

200

Critics say the model assumes all countries will follow the same path, a flaw described by this term.

What is ethnocentrism

300

This stage of the Demographic Transition Model is marked by high birth rates and high death rates.

What is stage 1

300

Introduction of vaccines and public health measures primarily lowers this demographic measure in Stage 2.

What is Death RatesWhat is Death Rate

300

Caribbean societies with low fertility, high emigration, and aging populations face this long-term challenge.

What is population decline

300

This sociological theory suggests that economic growth leads to demographic transition through rising living standard

What is modernization theory

300

The DTM underestimates the role of global inequalities, a criticism common to this major social science perspective

What is dependency theory

400

Some demographers argue that this “new” stage involves declining population as birth rates fall below replacement.

What is stage 5

400

This sociological process—the shift from agricultural to industrial work—tends to reduce family size.

What is Industrialization

400

This dependency measure increases when a country has many elderly people and fewer working-age adults.

What is the dependency ratio

400

The acceptance of contraception and family planning reflects changing values described by this sociocultural process

What is secularization

400

Critics argue the DTM underestimates the role of this demographic process that can drastically reshape age structure

What is migration

500

Very low birth and death rates, often linked to urbanization and changing gender roles, define this stage.

What is Stage 4

500

Some Caribbean territories might be approaching this stage due to out-migration of youth and an aging population base.

What isStage 5Stage

500

This type of migration—common in Jamaica and Guyana—removes working-age adults and influences population structure.

What is out-migration / emigration

500

Movement from rural areas to urban centres increases access to education and healthcare; this is called this type of migration.

What is rural-to-urban migration

500

The DTM does not consider deliberate government policies such as

What are pronatalist/antinatalist policies

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