The probability of winning the lottery is 50%: Either you
win or you don't
Mom, am I normal?
Correlation does not mean Causation
Girl, I fail to reject you
Testing Tips
100

This type of random variable has two possible outcomes ("success" or "failure") with the same probability of "success" on each observation, all observations are independent, and a fixed number of trials (n)

What is a binomial random variable? 

100

This calculator command can be used to find the area under a normal distribution between any two specific values.

What is normalcdf? 

100

This is the most common method to identify outliers for one variable data (spell out the rule specifically)

What is Q1 - 1.5(IQR) and Q3 + 1.5(IQR)? 

100

This phrase is used to describe an observed effect so large that it is unlikely to occur by chance alone.

What is statistically significant? 

100

Do a demo of a power pose!

[answers will vary]

200

These are events that have no outcomes in common and can never occur simultaneously, for which the addition rule is used. 

What are disjoint events (or mutually exclusive events)? 

200

If quantitative data are approximately normally distributed, approximately what percent of the observations are within 1, 2, and 3 standard deviations of the mean? (Give all three answers)

68% Within one SD

95% Within two SDs

99.7% Within three SDs

200

The population is divided into groups based on those groups having some characteristic that could potentially affect the variable being measured. Then within each group, a random sample is taken. 

What is stratified random sampling?

200

The type of significance test used for the mean of a single population when the standard deviation of the population is unknown. 

What is a T test? (One sample T test) 

200

This is how much time per MCQ?

40 q's in 90 minutes; so 2:15 per question 

300

The probability of rolling a fair die three times and getting three fours. 

What is P(rolling three 4s) = P(4)*P(4)*P(4) = 1/216

300

____________ is more resistant to _________ than the mean.

MEDIAN is more resistant to OUTLIERS than the mean.

300

This is necessary in order to infer that something caused something else

What is random assignment?

300

These are three different ways that you can satisfy the Normality condition. Any one of them by itself is sufficient

1) The sample size is larger than 30 (CLT)

2) The population is known to be Normally distributed

3) The sample data do not show significant skewness or outliers (prove it with a dotplot, stemplot, or histogram)

300

Name at least one pro tip for the Investigative Task (FRQ #6)

1) Don't freak out! You got this. 

2) Try all parts of the problem, especially the first couple parts

3) Make reasonable guesses and use them in subsequent parts of the problem

400

The probability of drawing a red or a Queen from a standard deck of cards. 

What is P(red or queen) = P(red) + P(queen) - P(red and queen)  = 28/52

400

The square of the standard deviation

What is the variance? 

400

Give an example of a situation where you want the difference of means, AND an example of a situation where you want a mean difference. 

[Answers will vary]

400

The conclusion if the p-value is 0.001 given an alpha = 0.05. 

"Since the p-value is less than alpha = 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis, and conclude there is significant evidence to support the alternative hypothesis [in context]"?

Bonus: What kind of error is it possible that occurred in this test?

400

Do you lose points for guessing and getting a multiple-choice question wrong on the AP Statistics Exam?

Heck NO! Guess them all!

500

The probability you find a defective bag of popcorn is .02, independently. What is the probability the first defective bag will be the 10th bag?

Geometpdf (.02, 10) = .0167

500

To calculate this for a particular observation, subtract the mean of the distribution from the observed value, then divide by the standard deviation. 

What is the z-score (or standardized value)? 

500

The population is divided into groups. Some groups are randomly selected and ALL individuals in the chosen groups are sampled. 

What is cluster sampling? 

500

Write the conclusion for a 90% confidence interval (2.45, 3.85) for the average GPA of BTA Seniors. 

"We are 90% confident that the true average GPA of all BTA Seniors falls between 2.45 and 3.85."

Bonus: What was the mean GPA in the sample used to create this CI?

500

You should always include this when describing a distribution, interpreting the slope of an LSRL, concluding a hypothesis test or interval, and really any time you're explaining something

What is CONTEXT of this specific problem? (The specific variable you're measuring or describing)

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