Significance & Likelihood
What's the likelihood and significance of the following event?
A 3-pack-a-day smoker contracting cancer.
What is "High likelihood, high significance"?
Probability of rolling a 6 on a dodecahedron
What is 1/12?
What is expected value?
What is the average of results if the experiment was conducted many times.
What's the probability that I roll 5 sixes?
What is 1/7776 or .00012
Miss Merino's favorite animal
The probability of a storm surge shutting down Holden High School is 0.
What describes the likelihood?
What is impossible
There are 53 R&B songs, 25 Latin songs, and 45 Alternative songs on Miss. Merino's playlist.
What's the probability that the next song is an R&B song?
What is 53/123?
What field studies risks and expected value?
Actuary
You have 3 red marbles, 8 blue marbles, and 12 green marbles. What's the probability of drawing a green marble on your first draw, putting it back, and then drawing a red marble?
(12/13)(3/23) = 36/529 or .068
What cryptocurrency is a meme?
What is dogecoin?
If the probability of identity theft is 29/38, what's the likelihood of this occurrence?
What is more likely?
Google slide 3
What's the probability that a randomly selected person in the age group 30-49 is voting other?
52/453 or .1147 or 11.5%
Google Slide 6
FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF INSURANCE COMPANY
$370
You roll a six-sided die twice. What's the probability that neither roll is even?
(3/6)(3/6) =.25
1 -.25 = .75
Best selling manga of 2020
What is Demon Slayer
What best describes this situation?
What is low likelihood, high significance?
Google Slide 4
What’s the probability that a randomly selected sophomore said yes?
What is 36/313, or .1150, or 11.5%
Google Slide 7
What is -$502.17 and $502.17
You have a spinner with 4 yellow regions, 2 pink regions, and 14 blue spaces. What's the probability that neither spins on a pink region?
(2/20)(2/20) = .01
1 - .01 = .99
This Disney movie won an Oscar for best-animated feature
What is Soul
Give an example of something that has a high likelihood and low significance.
Miss Merino must accept your answer.
Ex. Driving to Warrensburg from Holden and losing cell phone signal.
Google Slide 5
What’s the probability that a randomly selected day in April will be greater than or equal to 1.0-1.9 inches of precipitation?
What is 26/30?
Google Slide 8
Apple is bringing back the iPods! Which model should Apple develop?
iPod B
You draw a card from a standard deck of cards (52), replace it, and then draw another card. What's the probability that neither of the cards are clubs?
(39/52)(39/52) = .5625
1 - .5625 = .4375
Directed "US," "Get Out," and was in the skit "Substitute Teacher"