The Beginner’s Path
The Path of Regression
The Karma of Econometrics
Enlightened Econometrics
The Illusion of Significance
100

What is cross-sectional data?

Data collected from different entities at one point in time.

100

What does OLS do?

It minimizes the sum of squared residuals.

100

What does R² measure?

The proportion of variance in the dependent variable explained by the model.

100

If correlation equals zero, have you reached emptiness?

No. The relationship may be nonlinear.

100

Your p-value is 0.049.Have you achieved enlightenment?

No. You have achieved borderline statistical significance. Remain humble.

200

What is time series data?

Data collected for one entity over multiple time periods.

200

What is the difference between correlation and regression?

Correlation measures the strength of a relationship; regression models dependence.

200

What is multicollinearity?

A strong correlation among independent variables.

200

You obtained R² = 0.99. This is:

A) Nirvana

B) Overfitting

C) An illusion (maya)

Correct answer: overfitting

But if you confidently say “Nirvana” — +50 for inner confidence 

200

Your coefficient changes sign after adding one variable. What is this?

A) Spiritual awakening

B) Model instability

C) Mercury retrograde

If your answer is A, it is +100

If your answer is B, it is +200

If your answer is C, it is +150

300

What is panel data?

Data collected for multiple entities over multiple time periods.

300

When is a logit model used?

When the dependent variable is binary (0/1).

300

Karmic Risk

-300

300

You deleted your dataset before the deadline. What is this?

-300

This is karma.

300

You see *** next to your coefficient. What do they represent?

Statistical significance levels.

400

Why is panel data more informative than cross-sectional data?

 It allows us to control for individual effects and observe dynamics over time.

400

What is heteroskedasticity?

When the variance of the error term is not constant.

400

Moment of Enlightenment

+400

400

What is more dangerous for a researcher?

A) Heteroskedasticity

B) Endogeneity

C) Pride in a high R²

Pride in a high R²

400

You increase your sample size and suddenly everything becomes significant. Why?

Larger samples reduce standard errors.

500

What is a fixed effects model?

 A model that controls for time-invariant individual characteristics.

500

What is endogeneity?

When an explanatory variable is correlated with the error term.

500

Why does correlation not imply causation?

Because of possible omitted variables, reverse causality, or confounding factors.

500

If your model is insignificant but you deeply believe in it, what should you do?

A) Meditate

B) Recheck the specification

C) Rewrite the data

Meditate 

500

Your regression shows that ice cream sales predict drowning rates. What should you conclude?

A) Ban ice cream

B) Publish immediately

C) Consider omitted variables (like temperature)

C, Consider omitted variables (like temperature)

If you answer A or B with confidence, it is −200 karma points.


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