on the vegness
the expert problem
hurdling like cattle
the beauty of technology
100
The first two topics discussed in chapter 10
What is demonstrably arrogant and implications of being arrogant
100
Paul Meehl and Robyn Dawes show what term to be "the closest thing to fraud"
What is expert
100
One type of expert that tends to be an expert
What is accountants
100
"The longer you wait, the longer you are expected to wait"(Vocab Term)
What is Extremistan
200
The Cost of the Sydney Opera House in dollars
What is $104 million
200
3 domains for formal testing
What is economics, political science, and security analysis.
200
epistemic arrogance does not include _____
What is skills
200
It compensates for the error rate or possible divergence of the final goal
What is variability
300
Taleb reminds is that he is not testing how much people know, instead ________
What is the difference between what people actually know and how much they think they know.
300
Two cases that describe "arrogance in the presense of some competence" and "arrogance mixed with incompetence (the empty suit)"
What is "The mild case" and "Severe case"
300
one type of expert who does not tend to be an expert
What is councilors
300
This image shows the _____ stealing the victim's ring (end of chapter 10)
What is Fortune Teller
400
Guessing and predicting are different ideas (T/F)
What is False, They are all the same
400
To forecast future years, financial institutions use
What is outlook for 200x
400
One of the three domains that have formal tests
What is political science
400
"As women get older their life expectancy decreases" is an example Taleb uses to describe ________
What is Life expectancy
500
Taleb describes arrogance as ____
What is our hubris concerning the limits of our knowledge
500
The problem with predictions which Taleb states derives from the fact that we live in one of the two living environments
What is Extremistan
500
two types of cases that involve arrogance and wither competence or incompetence
What is mild and sever case
500
A projection that takes on a life of its own, losing its vagueness and abstraction, becoming what philosophers call refied
What is excel sales projections
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