Arabian Peninsula
Fertile Crescent
African Arab Countries
Why Fertility Changes
Study & Big Picture
100

This country had the lowest fertility rate in the Arabian Peninsula block in 2021, at 1.5 births per woman. 

United Arab Emirates (UAE)

100

What country had the largest reported fertility decline in the entire Arab world, at 24.3%.

Jordan

100

This country had the highest fertility rate in the Arab world in both 2011 and 2021.

Somalia

100

The study links higher levels of this among women with lower fertility.

Education

100

The researchers used fertility-rate data from this international source.

World Bank

200

This country recorded the largest reported fertility decline in the Arabian Peninsula block, at 19.1%.

Yemen

200

This country ranked second in the Arab world for reported fertility decline, at 22.2%.

Iraq

200

This was the only country in the study with no reported fertility decline.

Algeria

200

This change in the timing of marriage was discussed as one explanation for lower fertility in the UAE and Jordan.

Later marriage, or a rising age at marriage. 

200

These were the two years compared in the study.

2011 and 2021

300

The Arabian Peninsula mean fertility rate changed from this value in 2011 to this value in 2021.

2.6 to 2.2 births per woman

300

This country had the smallest decline in the Fertile Crescent block, changing from 2.2 to 2.1 births per woman.

Lebanon

300

This country had the largest reported decline in the African Arab block, at 15.1%.

Djibouti

300

This family-planning factor may influence fertility, although the pattern differed between Yemen and Jordan.

Contraceptive use

300

Name one major limitation of the study.

Using only two comparison years

Not testing causes

Excluding war and migration

Relying on country averages. 

400

This country recorded one of the smallest declines in the Arabian Peninsula block, at 4.5%.

Kuwait

400

This area changed from 4.3 births per woman in 2011 to 3.5 in 2021.

West Bank and Gaza

400

This country’s fertility rate fell from 7.3 in 2011 to 6.3 in 2021.

Somalia

400

The paper describes these two outside forces but excludes them from the analysis.

War and migration?

400

This is the number of Arab League countries included in the study.

22 

500

This country remained the highest-fertility country in the Arabian Peninsula block in 2021, at 3.8 births per woman.

Yemen

500

The Fertile Crescent regional mean declined by this amount, from 3.3 to 2.7 births per woman.

0.6 births per woman

500

The African Arab regional mean fell from 3.8 in 2011 to this value in 2021.

3.4 births per woman

500

This social factor in the UAE may affect fertility by shaping expectations about work, marriage, and family.

Gender roles

500

This measure means the average number of children a woman would have during her lifetime.

Total fertility rate

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