Probability Likelihood Chart
This section of the chart goes from anything greater than 0% to anything less than 50%.
UNLIKELY
Determine whether the situation should be described as IMPOSSIBLE, UNLIKELY, EQUALLY LIKELY, LIKELY, or CERTAIN
There is a 50% chance that Ms. Walters will go to Chik-Fil-A for lunch today.
EQUALLY LIKELY
You have a spinner that contains (8) sections of different colors. There is (1) blue section.
Determine the Likelihood Fraction of this Event AND the Likelihood Classification:
1/8
**Unlikely**
There are (4) types of breakfast items that are being served: pancakes, waffles, french toast, and breakfast sandwiches.
Determine the Likelihood Percentage of having oatmeal and determine the Likelihood Classification:
0%
**Impossible**
This section of the chart is directly at 50%.
Equally Likely
*Neither Unlikely nor Likely*
Determine whether the situation should be described as IMPOSSIBLE, UNLIKELY, EQUALLY LIKELY, LIKELY, or CERTAIN
There is a 100% chance that you will eat lunch in the cafeteria today.
CERTAIN
There is a bag containing (10) different pieces of fruit.
Determine the Likelihood Fraction of pulling a piece of fruit from the bag, and determine the Likelihood Classification:
10/10
**Certain**
There is a 6-sided number cube numbered 1-6.
Determine the Likelihood Percentage of rolling a number less than 8 and determine the Likelihood Classification:
100%
**Certain**
This part of the chart is located at the 1, 1.0, or 100%.
CERTAIN
Determine whether the situation should be described as IMPOSSIBLE, UNLIKELY, EQUALLY LIKELY, LIKELY, or CERTAIN
There is a 0% chance that Kevin Hart will be at our school today.
IMPOSSIBLE
Mr. Mendez would like to teach (7) lessons on Bisecting Particles in our math class. There is absolutely no chance that anyone would understand any of his lessons.
Determine the Likelihood Fraction of understanding Mr. Mendez's Bisecting Particles lessons and determine the Likelihood Classification:
0/7
**Impossible**
There is a deck of (52) playing cards. In this deck, 26 cards are black and 26 cards are red.
Determine the Likelihood Percentage of pulling a red card from the deck and determine the Likelihood Classification:
50%
**Equally Likely**
This section of the chart is above 50% and below 100%.
LIKELY
Determine whether the situation should be described as IMPOSSIBLE, UNLIKELY, EQUALLY LIKELY, LIKELY, or CERTAIN
There is a 40% chance that your favorite team will win their game.
UNLIKELY
You have a bag with (5) pencils. (2) of the pencils are green, (2) of the pencils are blue, and (1) of the pencils is red.
Determine the Likelihood Fraction of pulling out a pencil that is GREEN OR RED, and determine the Likelihood Classification:
3/5
**Likely**
A bag contains (100) marbles. There are (40) purple marbles, (20) yellow marbles, (15) black marbles, and (25) pink marbles.
Determine the Likelihood Percentage of pulling a pink marble from the bag and determine the Likelihood Classification:
25%
**Unlikely**
Fill in the blank:
The likelihood of an impossible event would be ____ %.
0
Determine whether the situation should be described as IMPOSSIBLE, UNLIKELY, EQUALLY LIKELY, LIKELY, or CERTAIN
There is a 95% chance that Starbucks will get your order correct.
LIKELY
There are (12) books on a shelf, each of a different genre. (3) of the books are biographies, (4) of the books are adventures, (2) of the books are mystery, and (3) of the books are sci-fi.
Determine the Likelihood Fraction of randomly choosing a biography or sci-fi book from the shelf, and determine the Likelihood Classification:
6/12 OR 1/2
**Equally Likely**
Of Ms. Walters's last (5) Starbucks orders, (4) of the orders were a vanilla iced latte and (1) of the orders was a coffee frappuccino.
Determine the Likelihood Percentage of Ms. Walters ordering a vanilla iced latte for her next Starbucks trip and determine the Likelihood Classification:
80%
**Likely**