Spread the Numbers!
Probable Outcomes and Combinatorial Chaos
Discrete Delights
Endless Outcomes
Linked Likelihoods and Random Business
100

The most commonly reported measure of spread for a data set.

Standard deviation

100
The number of ways to select a committee of 4 members from a pool of 10 people, stated as a permutation or combination.

10C4

100

The distribution of X, the number of times that a fair coin lands on heads out of 10 flips.

Binomial(n=10, p=0.5)

100

The probability someone waits exactly 12 minutes for a bus if wait times are uniformly distributed between 0 and 30.

0

100

You are on a gameshow. There are 3 closed doors. Two of the doors contain goats, one door contains 1 million dollars. You choose a door at random, say door 1. The gameshow host reveals a goat behind door 2 and asks if you want to switch. To maximize your chances of winning 1 million dollars, should you switch, stay, or does it not matter?

Switch!
200

For bell-shaped data, approximately this percentage of data falls within 2 standard deviations of the mean.

95%

200

The number of ways the top 3 finishers can be arranged in a race with 5 people.

60

200

The distribution of X, the first time a fair coin lands on heads.

Geometric(p=0.5)

200

The probability someone waits more than 12 minutes for a bus if wait times are uniformly distributed between 0 and 30.

0.6

200

Suppose Y1 and Yare jointly continuous with

f(y_1, y_2)=4y_1y_2

where 

0\leq y_1 \leq 1, 0\leq y_2 \leq 1

what is 

P(Y_1\leq \frac{1}{2}, Y_2 \geq \frac{1}{8})

0.2461

300

The sample mean of the following data. Include the correct symbol.

2, 4, 7, 7, 8, 9 12, 22

\overline{X}=8.875

300

When

P(A\cap B)=0

A and B are said to be this. 

Mutually exclusive

300

The probability that Dr. Javier has made at least 1 typo in this review game if the number of typos has a Poisson distribution with a mean of 2 typo errors per review game.



0.8647

300

P(Z<1.02)

0.8461

300

Var(aY+b)

if 

Var(Y)=\sigma^2

a^2\sigma^2

400

The Var(X) where X is discrete with

P(0)=0.05, P(1)=0.15, P(2)=0.25, P(3)=0.4 P(4)=0.15

Round to 1 decimal place and include the appropriate symbol.

\sigma^2=1.1

400

P(A\cap B)

where

P(A)=0.3, P(B)=0.4, P(A|B)=0.3

 and 

P(B|A) = 0.6

.12

400

Sampling for defectives from large lots of manufactured product yields a number of defectives, Y, that follows a binomial probability distribution with p = 0.1. If 10 products are delivered, the lot is rejected if there are more than 2 defects. What is the probability the lot is rejected?

0.0702

400

The probability that a certain individual takes more than 10 minutes to respond to a text message if their response time is exponentially distributed with a mean of 5 minutes.

0.1353

400

Suppose service times at a coffee shop have a mean of 4 minutes with a standard deviation of 2 minutes.


If we randomly select 50 people, what is the probability their average wait time exceeds 4.3 minutes?

0.1444

500

Suppose commercial times have an approximately bell-shaped distribution with a mean of 60 seconds and a standard deviation of 10 seconds. According to the Empirical Rule, approximately what percentage of commercials last between 50 seconds and 90 seconds?

83.85%

500

The probability of drawing a full house, rounded to 4 decimals.


Note: A full house is a poker hand that consists of three cards of the same rank and two cards of a different rank (ex. three queens and two nines).

0.0014

500

The probability that it takes you 10 people to find 3 avid fantasy readers if 15% of people are avid fantasy readers. 

.0390

500

The CDF of Y, where 

f(y)=cy, 0leq y\leq 4

If 

y<0, F(y)=0

If 

0\leq y \leq 4, F(y)=y^2/16

If

y>4, F(y)=1

500

The expected value of C, where C=10+40Y+2Y2 where Y is Exponentially distributed with a mean of 10.

900

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