Vocabulary
What word means predicting future events or developments?
Forecasting
What was the average accuracy of military technology forecasts in the study?
About 76%
What type of vehicle operates without a human driver?
Unmanned vehicle / robotic vehicle
Why are long-term forecasts important for the military?
Because military systems take many years to develop
Military technology forecasts in the article were mostly short-term (1–2 years).
False
What does R&D stand for?
Research and Development
What year was used as the forecast target in many predictions?
2020
What technology uses groups of drones working together?
Drone swarms
Why might physical weapons be harder to predict than software technologies?
They depend on cost, production, logistics, and materials
The study found that cyber and information technologies were easier to predict.
True
What is a prototype?
The first test version of a technology or product
Which technologies were predicted most accurately?
Cyber and information technologies
What kind of warfare focuses on disrupting computer systems?
Cyber warfare
Why is forecasting useful even when predictions are not fully correct?
It helps guide research and investment directions
The researchers analyzed more than 80 forecast statements.
True
What does “accuracy” mean?
Correctness or closeness to the truth
How many forecast statements were analyzed in the article?
81
Which systems collect battlefield information?
Sensors and information collection systems
What is one danger of inaccurate military forecasts?
Falling behind enemies technologically
All military technology predictions in the study became completely successful.
False
What is cyber warfare?
Attacks or defense using computer systems and networks
What organization published the article?
NATO Defense College
What type of technology helps military leaders make decisions?
Command and control systems
Why should multiple experts participate in forecasting?
To improve reliability and reduce bias
The article suggests that long-term technology forecasting can help military planning and R&D decisions.
True