Theoretical
Experimental
Counting Principle
Vocabulary
How Likely is it?
100

Maria is flipping a coin and spinning a spinner. The spinner has 4 equal sections labeled A-D. What is the probability the coin will land on heads and the spinner will land on the letter "A"?

1/8 or 0.125, or 12.5%

100

So far, 907 of the 1223 voters have agreed to the new amendment.

Based on this data, what is a reasonable estimate of the probability that the next voter does not agree to the new amendment?

316/1223, 0.258, 25.8%

100

You are trying to decide what to wear to school. You know you have a green pair of pants, a red pair, and a blue pair. You also have a brown shirt, a plaid shirt, and a yellow shirt. How many different outfit combinations can you make?

9

100

Define "theoretical probability."

It is the probability of what should occur.

100

How likely is it that a coin is flipped and lands on tails?

Equally likely

200

The classic wood carousel at Carousel Park has 32 jumping horses and 16 standing horses. What is the probability of randomly selecting a jumping horse?

2/3, or 0.667, or 66.7%

200

The table shows the number of feathers Patsy the Peacock sold at each of the 8 festivals this year:

6, 3, 1, 4, 2, 3, 7, 2

3/4, 0.75. 75%

200

What is the number of possible outcomes for spinning one spinner with 8 equal sections and another spinner with 6 equal sections?

48 possible outcomes

200

Define "experimental probability."

The probability of what actually occurs.

200

How likely is it that a number cube is tossed and lands on 3?

Unlikely

300

What is the probability of rolling two odd numbers in a row with a standard number cube?

1/4, or 0.25, or 25%

300

A letter tile is randomly selected from a bag, recorded, and replaced 100 times. The results are listed below. What is the experimental probability of selecting the letter "E"? A = 16 E = 11 I = 29 O = 19 U = 25

11/100 or 0.11, or 11%

300

Amiya and Keyshawn are candidates for class president of the 10th grade. Ajaye, Chishon, and Laura are candidates for vice president. How many winning combinations are possible?

6

300

Describe the difference between events that are certain, likely, equally likely, unlikely, or never going to happen.

Certain would be 100% of the time, likely is anything greater than 50% of the time, equally likely is exactly 50% of the time, unlikely is anything less than 50% of the time, and never is anything that has a 0% chance of occuring.

300

How likely is it that a number cube is tossed and it lands on 8?

never going to happen

400

There are 3 red marbles, 2 green marbles, and 1 yellow marble in a box. One marble is taken out and not replaced. A second marble is then taken out and not replaced. What is the probability both marbles that were taken out are red?

1/5, or 0.20, or 20%

400

Pedro recorded the types of birds that visit his bird feeder. Based on the results below, what is the probability the next bird will be a chickadee? Woodpecker = 3 Chickadee = 5 Cardinal = 1 Sparrow = 13 Blue Jay = 3

1/5, or 0.20, or 20%

400

Ms. French is packing for a trip. She packs a white blouse, a pink blouse, a blue blouse, and a green blouse. She also packs a black suit, a navy blue suit, and a gray suit. What is the probability that the first outfit she wears is the gray suit with a pink blouse?

1/12, 0.083, 8.3%

400

Define "independent event."

When one event occurs and the item is replaced before the second event occurs, or when one event doesn't effect the other event.

400

How likely is it that a number cube is tossed and lands on any number 1-6?

Certain

500

Peter spins a spinner with 5 equal sections numbered 1-5 and he spins another spinner with 5 equal sections with the letters A-E. What is the probability he will spin a 4 and a B?

1/25 or 0.04, or 4%

500

A six-sided die is thrown 50 times. Using the list below, how does the theoretical probability of rolling a 3 compare to the experimental probability of rolling a 3? Number on Die How Many Times it Landed on that Number 1.   2.   3.   4.   5.   6.   7
             8    6    7   12  10   6    7

The theoretical probability is higher than the experimental probability. (Theoretical = 17%, Experimental = 14%)

500

What is the probability of rolling three 4's in a row on a number cube?

1/216

500

Define "dependent event."

When one event occurs and that item is not replaced before the second event occurs or when one event does effect the second event.

500

How likely is it that a number cube lands on 2 and a coin lands on heads?

unlikely

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