Basic Probability
Experimental vs. Theoretical
Vocabulary
Word Problems
Real-World Probability
100

A bag has 3 red marbles and 2 blue marbles. What is the probability of picking a red marble?

3/5

100

Flipping a coin 25 times and recording results is what type of probability?

Experimental

100

What is an outcome?

A possible result of an event

100

A jar has 4 red and 6 blue marbles. What is P(red)?

4/10 (or 2/5)

100

What is probability used for in weather forecasts?

Predicting chance of rain/sun/snow

200

A coin is flipped. What is the probability of getting heads?

1/2

200

What type of probability is based on math and all possible outcomes?

Theoretical

200

What is an event?

An action; A set of outcomes or result you are interested in

200

A class has 10 boys and 10 girls. What is P(picking a girl)?

10/20 (or 1/2)

200

If something has a 90% chance of happening, is it likely or unlikely?

Likely

300

A spinner has 10 equal sections. 4 are green. What is the probability of landing on green?

4/10 (or 2/5)

300

A spinner says you should land on red 1/4 of the time. This is what type?

Theoretical

300

What does favorable outcome mean?

The outcome you want

300

A bag has 3 candy, 2 chips, and 5 cookies. What is P(chips)?

2/10 (or 1/5)

300

Why do games use probability?

To decide fairness/chances of winning

400

A number cube (1–6) is rolled. What is the probability of rolling a number greater than 4?

2/6 (or 1/3)

400

You roll a die 10 times and get mostly 6s. What type of probability is this?

Experimental
400

What is probability?

The chance something will happen

400

A spinner has 8 sections: 2 red, 3 blue, 3 green. What is P(red or blue)?

5/8

400

Give one real-life example of probability.

Weather, sports, games, lotteries, etc.

500

A bag has 5 green, 3 red, and 2 blue marbles. What is probability of getting a marble that is NOT red?

7/10

500

What is one difference between experimental and theoretical probability?

Experimental uses trials/data; theoretical uses math/possible outcomes

500

What does “equally likely” mean?

All outcomes have the same chance

500

A box has 6 pencils, 4 pens. You pick one item. What is P(not a pen)?

6/10 (or 3/5)

500

A doctor says there is a 1 in 100 chance of a side effect. Is that likely or unlikely?

Unlikely

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