Voting and GOTV
According to the "Funnel of Causality" model posited by the American Voter project, it is one of the determinants of vote choice less important than partisanship. (That is, just name ONE determinant.)
What is ideology, general policy attitudes, current policy preferences, retrospective views of the president, candidate personal qualities or prospective evaluation of candidates and parties?
Of Mayhew’s three activities that members of Congress undertake to be re-elected, it is the one not listed here: advertising and credit-claiming.
What is position-taking?
Of the choices INCREASE or DECREASE, it is the direction in which party loyalty voting on bills and amendments has gone in the U.S. House in the last few decades.
What is INCREASE?
It is the name of the blog that Nate Silver recently moved from the New York Times to its own site (and now is supported by ABCNews).
What is FiveThirtyEight.com?
Of GREATER and LESS, it is what most political analysts would expect the turnout for the 2020 elections to be compared to the 2018 elections.
What is GREATER?
It is a one-word titled Malcolm Gladwell book that gives insight into bounded rationality.
What is "Blink"?
According to Jacobson and Kernell, it is one of the two primary indicators to which strategic politicians react when making decisions about entering election campaigns. (That is, mention ONE of TWO.)
What is economic performance OR presidential standing/approval?
It is the branch of the federal government that generally has the lowest approval rating.
What is the legislative branch (Congress)?
Is the name of the U.S. House candidate in North Carolina's 13th District who raised the most "hard dollar" contributions during the 2018 election campaign.
Who is Kathy Manning?
What year's elections (since 1990) saw the biggest gain of U.S. House seats for the major party that did not hold the presidency?
What is 2010?
It is the major U.S. political party that would benefit most at the polls if all non-voters (people who are not registered and never go to vote) got out to vote on Election Day
What is the Democratic Party?
The House of Representatives switched from control by this party to that of the other major party in the “wave” election of 2006
What is the Republican Party?
It is term that Tracy Sulkin uses to describe the adoption of particular policy issues by the winners of elections from their opponents/challengers.
What is a (ISSUE) UPTAKE?
Of the choices INCREASE and DECREASE, it is what happens to the likelihood an incumbent politician will "go negative" against an opponent as the campaign becomes more competitive.
What is INCREASE?
Of LOWER or HIGHER, it describes the percentage of eligible 18 - 24 year olds who vote in midterm elections compared to the percentage of 55 - 64 year olds who vote.
What is LOWER?
According to the Green and Gerber field experiments, it is the GOTV technique of these three that is the most effective: telephone calls, direct mail, canvassing/door-knocking
What is canvassing/door-knocking?
It is the total number of Republican U.S. Senators who will be in the majority in D.C. in February 2019.
What is 53?
Of those we discussed in lecture, it is the kind of representative James Madison would have recommended/wanted.
What is DELEGATE?
It is the number of incumbent Democratic U.S. Senators who were running for reelection in 2018 in states the Donald Trump won in 2016.
What is 10?
It is the name of the Democratic challenger in the recent run off election to win the U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi.
Who is Mike Espy?
He is the Harvard professor (of whom we saw video) who has developed field experiments to test GOTV ideas advancing the work of Gerber and Green.
Who is Todd Rogers?
It is the last year that a president in his 2nd year of office saw a GAIN of seats for HIS party in the House of Representatives as a result of midterm elections.
What is 2002 (or 2003 depending on how you count!)? (It was under George W. Bush.)
It is the total number of Democratic U.S. Senators in former Confederate states (as of February 2019)?
What is three (3)? (Two in Virginia and one in Alabama.)
It is 21st century a Supreme Court decision that many political analysts say has had the greatest effect on how money is spent in elections, particularly on expenditures in support of, but not directly to, federal campaigns.
What is Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission (2010)?
It is the name of the Republican incumbent who was defeated in the 2018 primary election for the 9th Congressional District in North Carolina.
Who is Robert Pittenger?