Winter
Spring
Summer
Fall
New Winter
100

What are the challenges movements face in the winter?

Lack of public support & organizational capacity in all theories of change.

100

What are the challenges movements face in the spring?

Fear of escalation and lack of systems for absorption.

100

What are the challenges movements face in the summer?

Sustaining escalation & putting too much energy into the inside game.

100

What are the challenges movements face in the fall?

Leveraging the inside game at the right time, losing resources, capacity and support & sustaining organizational capacity.

100

What are the challenges movements face in the new winter?

Institutionalizing the wins, not having enough capacity to start a new cycle, and facing new types of resistance against movements (backlash). 

200

What theories of change should the movement prioritize in the winter?

Personal transformation, alternatives, and structure.

200

What theories of change should the movement prioritize in the spring?

Structure and mass protest.

200

What theories of change should the movement prioritize in the summer?

Structure and mass protest.

200

What theories of change should the movement prioritize in the fall?

Structure and inside game.

200

What theories of change should the movement prioritize in the new winter?

Inside game, structure, personal transformation, and alternatives.

300

What is the breakthrough in Active Popular Support needed in the winter ?

Generate small passive support for symbolic issues & build new organizational capacity primarily in structure and mass protest.

300

What is the breakthrough in Active Popular Support needed in the spring?

Increase mass protest capacity to escalate and polarize & create ways to absorb active popular support into organization capacity and all theories of change.

300

What is the breakthrough in Active Popular Support needed in the summer?

Finding new ways to do mass protest in order to escalate on the issues and win active popular support & creating ways to absorb active popular support into organizational capacity and all theories of change.

300

What is the breakthrough in Active Popular Support needed in the fall?

Creating new capacity in the inside game to win demands, increasing capacity and coordination through structure to win campaigns, and sustaining organizational capacity while loosing active popular support.

300

What is the breakthrough in Active Popular Support needed in the new winter?

Sustaining and strengthening organizational capacity within structure and inside game, maintaining strong independent outside game while continuing to institutionalize gains, and adding new capacity in all theories of change to support the next cycle and new/other movements.

400

What organizational capacity should you develop in the winter?

Structure-based organizational capacity to develop a strong and growing base, personal transformation organization capacity to create strong leadership and provide services, and strengthening alternatives capacity to develop a politicized base.

400

What organizational capacity should you develop in the spring?

Absorption capacity in all theories of change, coordination and mobilization capacity for all theories of change into mass protest, and mass protest capacity to create trigger events.

400

What organizational capacity should you develop in the summer?

Absorption capacity in all theories of change, coordination and mobilization capacity for all theories of change into mass protest, and mass protest capacity to continue to escalate.

400

What organizational capacity should you develop in the fall?

Inside game capacity to win campaigns, and structure-based capacity to win campaigns and sustain base.

400

What organizational capacity should you develop in the new winter?

Structure-based capacity to maintain a active base and continue to exercise power to maintain institutional gains, inside game's capacity to maintain long term institutional gains, and all theories of change capacity to support new movements, other movements, and the next cycle.

500

Whats is the most important things to measure in the winter?

Active popular support (passive and active) of symbolic issues, and organizational capacity of alternatives and structure.

500

Whats is the most important things to measure in the spring?

Active popular support of popular issues and the movement, organizational capacity of mass protest to escalate and create trigger events, and the capacity of all theories of change to absorb and turn active popular support into organizational capacity.

500

Whats is the most important things to measure in the summer?

Passive popular support of popular issues and the movement and organizational capacity of mass protest movement to continue to escalate with support from all theories of change and possible institutional gains.

500

Whats is the most important things to measure in the fall?

Active popular support for movement issues, and organizational capacity of structure to run campaigns with support from all theories of change and possible institutional gains.

500

Whats is the most important things to measure in the new winter?

Active popular support for movement issues, and organizational capacity of structure to run campaigns with support from all theories of change and possible institutional gains.

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