Strategy & U.S. Foreign Policy
U.S.–China Competition
Intelligence, Information & Uncertainty
Policy Recommendations
Historical vs. Contemporary Rivalry
100

The coordinated use of national resources to achieve long-term policy objectives abroad.

What is strategy in U.S. foreign policy?

100

A period of strategic rivalry involving economic, technological, and ideological competition, but not direct military conflict, between the U.S. and China.

What is the “new Cold War”?

100

An unexpected event, such as 9/11, that catches policymakers unprepared.

What is a strategic surprise?

100

A specific course of action proposed to address a policy issue or challenge.

What is a policy recommendation?

100

Persistent rivalry for influence and security among leading states describes this pattern.

What is an enduring pattern in great power competition?

200

This is one way policymakers adapt strategy in response to new international threats.

What is reassessing priorities, forming new alliances, or reallocating resources?

200

The U.S. and China compete economically in these areas, including technology and infrastructure investment.

What are trade policy, technology, or infrastructure investment?

200

This complicates planning and can lead to risk aversion or miscalculation in foreign policy.

What is uncertainty?

200

Investing in cyber defenses and negotiating international norms are policy actions to address this threat from China.

What are cybersecurity threats?

200

This is a key difference between the U.S.–Soviet Cold War and today’s U.S.–China rivalry.

What is greater economic interdependence and technological competition?

300

This provides policymakers with information on threats, opportunities, and the intentions of other states.

What is intelligence?

300

The race for dominance in 5G, AI, and semiconductors is an example of this kind of competition.

What is technological competition?

300

The incorrect assessment of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq is an example of this.

What is an intelligence failure?

300

Strengthening alliances and maintaining freedom of navigation operations are recommended strategies for managing uncertainty here

What is the South China Sea?

300

Intelligence now emphasizes cyber threats, open-source data, and rapid dissemination, reflecting this change since the Cold War.

What is the changing role of intelligence?

400

Public opinion, interest groups, and congressional oversight are all ways this shapes foreign policy strategy.

What is domestic politics?

400

China’s main military strategy in the Asia-Pacific region.

What is anti-access/area denial and regional dominance?

400

Scenario analysis and probability assessments are examples of these tools used by governments.

What are methods to interpret risk?

400

Promoting transparent investment and supporting African agency are recommended U.S. approaches for balancing interests with China in this region.

What is Africa?

400

The rise of multipolarity and more influential non-state actors mark this shift from the 20th to the 21st century.

What is a shift in global order?

500

This U.S. foreign policy shift was a response to China’s rise as a global power.

What is the “pivot to Asia”?

500

The rivalry between the U.S. and China has led to increased polarization and competition for influence in these organizations.

What are global institutions like the UN and WTO?

500

The use of disinformation to influence public opinion and disrupt adversaries is a form of this.

What is information warfare?

500

This comprehensive U.S. policy combines trade enforcement, technology investment, and coordination with allies to address economic competition with China.

What is a multi-faceted response to economic competition with China?

500

Today, deterrence includes cyber, space, and hybrid threats beyond nuclear weapons, in contrast to this earlier strategic environment.

What is the Cold War era of nuclear deterrence?

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