T-in-T General
Four modules.
What is the number of modules that make up the Thinking-in-Time block?
The Army's unique professional body of knowledge.
What is doctrine?
The focus of Module 2.
What is the PAST?
COL Tunnell
Explain your team's position on whether COL Tunnell was right.
Most important dimension.
What is either past, present, or future? Explain your answer.
The field of using a systemic process for thinking about, picturing possible outcomes, and planning for the future.
What is futuring?
A framework for defining and clarifying the relationship among national objectives, the operational approach, and tactical tasks.
What is the levels of war?
The US ending in Afghanistan could have been foreseen.
What is true / false? Expound.
Chart used by GEN McCrystal during briefings.
What is a loop diagram, also known as the spaghetti chart.
Introduction, past, present, future
What are the module focuses of Thinking-in-Time?
(DAILY DOUBLE!!!)
Mental shortcuts that can facilitate problem-solving and probability judgements.
What are heuristic?
Battle Analysis, Staff Rides, Case Study Method, and Case Method.
What are techniques for diving deeper into history?
The most important take away from this module.
What is ________? Why?
"Combat experience is generally regarded as an unqualified good . . . But generations defined by war can fare poorly when faced with new conditions."
Who is COL J.P. Clarke in his 2016 Parameters article?
To seek out, engage in, enjoy, and continuously pursue opportunities for effortful cognitive activity and understand the environment.
What is intellectual curiosity?
CALL, CMH, Army University Press, Institutional memory, and Domains.
What are Army organizations that helps us understand the past and military history?
The belief that past events can affect future probabilities.
What is Gambler's Fallacy?
(DAILY DOUBLE!!!)
Five "Cs"
What is Change, Causation, Context, Complexity, or Contingency?
GEN Milley
Correct or Incorrect? Explain your thoughts on GEN Milley’s statement “There’s no doubt in my mind that our efforts prevented an attack on the homeland from Afghanistan, which was our core original mission.
The tendency, after an event has occurred, to overestimate the extent to which the outcome could have been foreseen.
What is hindsight bias?
A cognitive reasoning skill by which the dimension of time (past, present, future) is used in to support the decision-making.
What is Thinking-in-Time defined?
Army Manual the states, Strategic thinking is an imperative for military leaders to shape the future of operations and to steward available resources.
What is FM 6-22?
A skill set used to cast our minds backwards by helping strategist to sharpen their thinking and asking better questions to see more accurately when we look forward.
What is Historical Mindedness/Awareness?
Inaugurated a program designed to train decision-making to use history to inform contemporary policy making; the approach is known as Thinking in Time.
Who are Professors Richard Neustadt and Ernest May?
Personally, for me, Thinking-in-Time is....
What is ________? Expound on this personal reflection