General
Causes & Political Economy
Economic Theory
Economic & Fiscal Impacts
India + Policy
100

Which state was the student we interviewed from?

Uttarakhand

100

What low-cost method is commonly used to clear land?

Burning

100

What market failure occurs when fire risk costs are not priced?

Negative externalities

100

What happens to regional GDP growth after wildfires in Southern Europe?

It decreases (~0.11%–0.18%)

100

What percentage of fires are human-caused in India?

About 95%

200

Why are wildfires difficult to study using simple comparisons?

Because fire occurrence is not random

200

In the Indonesia case, who controls fire law enforcement?

District leaders (bupati)

200

Why is fire suppression considered a public good?

Non-excludable and non-rival

200

Which sectors are most negatively affected?

Tourism and agriculture

200

What example shows electoral enforcement failure in India?

Stubble burning in Punjab & Haryana

300

Why did the student mention the government reperations wasn't great?

Not enough funds/Access for everyone

300

Why might politicians allow more fires after elections?

Less voter pressure / accountability

300

What happens when individuals act based on private costs in shared forests?

Tragedy of the commons

300

Why can total employment appear unchanged after fires?

Job losses are offset by gains in other sectors

300

Why doesn’t California-style revenue recovery apply to India?

No Prop 13, low insurance, weak fiscal buffers

400

What three factors jointly determine wildfires?

Climate, human behavior, and institutions

400

What economic actors benefit from setting fires?

Farmers, logging firms, plantation owners

400

What problem arises when people benefit without contributing to fire prevention?

Free rider problem

400

Despite higher tax revenue, what happens to government budgets?

They deteriorate (deficits increase)

400

What is the “India fiscal trap”?

Fires → economic loss → weaker capacity → more fires

500

What kind of variation is needed to identify causal effects of fires?

Exogenous variation (e.g., weather-based instruments)

500

Where is the electoral cycle effect strongest?

Productive forests (not protected forests)

500

What is the key implication of these market failures?

Overproduction of fire risk / underinvestment in prevention

500

Why are small towns more vulnerable to wildfire shocks?

Smaller tax base and weaker fiscal capacity

500

What is the core policy solution suggested?

Realign incentives (make prevention profitable, burning costly)

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