"There is a 70% chance that Joe will be on time to this meeting," is an example of this kind of thinking.
Probabilistic Thinking/Thinking in Probabilities
Interpreting information to support your existing belief, and ignoring information that challenges your belief are symptoms of this bias.
Confirmation Bias
The year How I Decide (now known as Alliance for Decision Education) was founded.
2014
"Last time I drunk drove, I got home safely. So, it's not a bad idea for me to do it again," is an example of this fallacy.
Resulting
We should not judge a decision solely by its outcome because this ignores the significant role of ______.
Chance
"That person must be a woman because they are wearing a dress." The assumption behind this observation/interpretation is...
Only women wear dresses.
The full first and last names of our 3 newest hires.
- Lisa Popyk
- Patricia Winner
- Michael DiStanisloa
Pick one person on the team.
Name the undergraduate university one of your teammates attended.
List 1 of the 3 characteristics of useful information.
1. Credible and unbiased source
2. Relevant and timely
3. Acknowledge uncertainty
"Using an artificially weak version of a counterargument that's easy to knock down," is the definition of this kind of fallacy.
Straw Man Fallacy
The organization's Twitter Handle.
@AllDecisionEd
This is the main title of Annie Duke's most recent book.
How to Decide
List 2 of the 4 characteristics of good alternatives
1. Under our control
2. Significantly different from one another
3. Potentially attractive
4. Doable
List 1 of the 2 questions you should always consider when interpreting a text.
1. What is the context and purpose of this text?
2. What is vague or ambiguous?
There is a repeating "Meditate (optional)" event on the Shared Team Calendar. This event is set to repeat at _(timeframe)_ on every workday except for _(day)_.
1:45-2:00pm. Tuesdays.
The longest-running Broadway show.
The Phantom of the Opera
List at least 5 of the 6 dimensions of the Deciding Process.
1. Framing
2. Clarifying Values
3. Generating Alternatives
4. Gathering Information
5. Predicting
6. Reflecting
List at least 4 of the 7 dimensions of the Critical Thinking Process.
1. Searching and Exploring
2. Interpreting
3. Analyzing
4. Inferring
5. Evaluating
6. Explaining
7. Reflecting/Self-Regulation
The office phone number.
(610) 668-1484
The color of Karen's water bottle.
Pink