1st half
Modeling
The Ints
Scenarios & Gaining Customer Acceptance
Analyzing Existing Intel and Deception, Denial, & Signalling
100

scientific and technical intelligence obtained through quantitative and qualitative analysis of data from specific technical sensors.

Measurement and Signature Intelligence (MASINT).

100

BLANK models are used to simulate military operations

Simulation

100

BLANK}—people, places, things, and events—is perhaps the most common subject
of intelligence target modeling

Entity

100

Name 2 common pitfalls of evaluating evidence:

  • Confirmation bias – favoring information that supports what you already believe while ignoring or discounting conflicting evidence.
  • Anchoring bias – relying too heavily on the first piece of information received and failing to adjust sufficiently when new evidence appears.
100

intelligence derived from information collected from and provided by human sources.

Human intelligence (HUMINT).

200

BLANK] modeling typically uses electronically stored maps (of the world, of regions, of cities) to display geographically oriented data

Geospatial

200

What is the problematic phenomenon in which evidence that is experienced directly is strongest (“seeing is believing”)?

Illusory truth effect

200

Give the three reasons why Intel fails

  • Failure of collection – key information is not gathered (or is missed) because of limited access, poor sources, or gaps in surveillance and reporting.
  • Failure of analysis (or interpretation) – the information exists, but analysts misread it, misjudge its significance, or fail to connect the dots.
  • Failure of dissemination/communication – the intelligence is correctly collected and analyzed, but it is not properly shared with the right decision-makers in time to matter.
200

Encryption is an example of:

Encryption is an example of information security (INFOSEC), specifically a protective countermeasure for communications security (COMSEC).

200

The fundamental task in weighing evidence is determining its credibility: True or False

True

300

A BLANK scenario is a type of projection

hypothetical

300

intelligence comprising all communications intelligence, and electronics intelligence.

Signals intelligence (SIGINT).

300

intelligence derived from information openly available within the public domain.

Open-source intelligence (OSINT).

300

BLANK scenarios are a forecast.

predictive

300

The instruments of national power are:

  • Diplomatic – managing international relations, alliances, negotiations
  • Informational – communication, messaging, intelligence, and influence operations
  • Military – armed forces and defense capabilities
  • Economic – trade, sanctions, aid, and financial leverage
400

Strategic Intelligence deals with long-range issues (True or False)

True

400

Most anticipatory analysis results in some form of BLANK—a description of the future state of the target

Most anticipatory analysis results in some form of forecast—a description of the future state of the target.

400

The falsification of information is known as:

disinformation

400

In intelligence analysis, BLANK is the organizing of relevant information in a coherent way, taking source and context into consideration. It involves evaluating the information for relevance and credibility, and then incorporating it into the target model

integration.

400

What are the 6 steps for creating an intelligence scenario?

  • Define the focal issue or intelligence question
    Identify what decision, threat, or uncertainty the scenario is meant to address.
  • Identify key drivers and forces
    Determine the major political, economic, military, technological, or social factors that influence the situation.
  • Identify critical uncertainties
    Select the factors that are both highly important and highly unpredictable.
  • Develop plausible alternative futures (scenario frameworks)
    Combine key drivers and uncertainties into a small set of distinct, logically consistent scenario “worlds.”
  • Flesh out the scenarios in detail
    Describe each scenario’s narrative, including how conditions evolve over time and how actors behave.
  • Analyze implications and indicators
    Determine what each scenario means for the intelligence question and identify warning signs that would suggest a scenario is becoming more likely.
500

Architect of the 9/11 attacks

Khalid Sheikh Mohammed

500

Another term for tactical intelligence is:

Operational intelligence

500

BLANK are mathematical descriptions of the interrelationships believed to determine a system’s behavior.

Models

500

intelligence derived from the exploitation of collection by visual photography, infrared sensors, lasers, electro-optics, and radar sensors such as synthetic aperture radar.

IMINT (Imagery Intelligence)

500

BLANK are used to assess the performance of major foreign weapons systems or
specific subsystems

Technical intelligence (TECHINT).