Polling Basics
This president was the first to poll Americans
Who is Theodore Roosevelt?
Term for a mental shortcut people sometimes use when asked their views on something.
What is a heuristic?
Winner of the 1988 Presidential Election
George H.W. Bush
The difference between polarization and sorting
What is more extreme opinions vs more consistent ones?
This is the term for analyzing a subset of a group in order to study the opinions of the group in general.
What is sampling?
The view that Converse (1964) expressed on public opinion after viewing how inconsistent people were in their responses.
What is the idea that people don't really have meaningful opinions?
Instances since 1988 in which the Republican has won the popular presidential vote.
What are 2004 and 2024?
An example we've studied in class of partisans changing their opinions to match that of their party.
What are (some examples)
Republicans on China during Nixon
Republicans on USSR during Reagan
Democrats having higher estimates of casualty counts in Iraq
Term for the larger group which we aim to study through a representative poll.
What is population?
The factor that Zaller and Feldman say determines which of people's many conflicting beliefs they express when asked
What is accesibility?
Reason that Gelman and King give for why presidential elections are so predictable.
What is "because the fundamentals of American society (economy, presidential approval, etc.) are highly predictive of the presidential vote.
Between sorting and polarization, the one we have more evidence for
What is sorting?
Term for the bias that emerges when a specific subset of people you want to poll are less likely to participate.
The 4 ways that partisan/ideological language is used, as discussed in class (name at least 2).
What are:
Ideologues
Group Benefits
Nature of the times
No issue content
?
Purpose that Gelman and King give for why campaigns exist.
Decade in which the modern partisan divide of conservative Republicans and liberal Democrats first began to emerge
What is the 1960s?
These are the 5 models presented by Luttbeg (1968) through which he claims public opinion can be reflected in policy. (Name at least 3)
What is the:
Rational-Activist Model
Political Parties Model
Interest Groups Model
Delegate Model
Sharing Model
?
The two experimental conditions that Zaller and Feldman divide their subjects into.
What are retrospective and stop and think?
In the example he studies, Lupia finds that knowing what makes generally uninformed people vote the same as knowledgeable ones?
What is the preference of the insurance industry?
The difference that Jeritt finds in how Democrats and Republicans learn from negative information on their own party.
What is : Republicans don't absorb it, but Democrats do to a small extent?