statistical data relating to particular groups that share common characteristics.
What are demographics?
Candidates use these to understand public preferences
What are polls?
a set of policies and ideas that a political party promotes.
What is a platform?
Opinions formed on the spot (rather than a deeply held belief)
What is a latent opinion?
two functions of political parties
What are raise money, promote candidates, give cues to voters, set platforms, and run campaigns?
The idea that many citizens are moving away from moderate positions and toward more extreme positions.
What is political polarization?
how close we can reasonably expect a survey result to fall relative to the whole population.
What is margin of error?
What is ticket splitting?
all people are given an equal chance to compete in American society.
What is equality of opportunity?
three key factors in determining the reliability of a poll.
What are random sampling, neutral questions, reporting of results, and polls sponsor?
The shifting of groups of people (coalitions) that once supported a particular party is now supporting a different political party.
What is party realignment?
actions taken by the federal reserve to influence interest rates to maximize employment
What is monetary policy?
reasons polling has become less accurate and predictable over the last few election cycles.
an electoral "earthquake" when new issues and coalitions emerge leading to a new party era. (FDR 1932)
What is a critical election?