Cat1
This is the only independent weather variable.
What is solar energy?
This is what the interpretation of weather patterns is called.
What is analysis?
Computer models and their equations (that work the actual observations input into them) make assumptions regarding the atmosphere that imply this type of condition.
What is ideal?
P.s. The obs put in are ACTUAL but there are many approximations using an ideal atmosphere built into the equations that use those ACTUAL obs.
These are ALWAYS present (in a small amount, but grow with time) in the initial conditions that are input into the models.
What are errors?
This forecasting method uses historical weather data from long periods of time to describe average weather conditions for an area.
What is climatology?
Advances in weather technology and forecasting methods have led to a decrease in the loss of these two things.
What are life and property?
A legitimate way to directly measure current atmospheric conditions for model input.
Will accept any listed on the slides. See the quiz for quick reference.
This is the number of days advancements in technology have allowed meteorologists to forecast out with rather high confidence.
What is 5 days?
This is the simplest form of weather forecasting. Works when weather patterns change little from day to day.
What is persistence?
This is how satellites have helped weather models.
What are gathering conditions in areas lacking direct measuring tools?
What is trend?
This is why social sciences are becoming so important in the world of meteorology.
What is public interpretation?
Generally, you should ignore one run, deterministic, model output this many days and beyond.
What is 7 days?
A forecast type that establishes a probability for the occurrence of an event and/or its magnitude.
This is what occurs and grows as models extrapolate further into time due to initially slightly corrupt data.
What is error?
Considered a common goal of forecasters.
Will accept any of the goals listed on the slides.
A forecast that gives an exact projection of temperature, rain, or occurrence of some weather feature for a location.
What is deterministic?
Diagnosis of the current state of weather conditions for a given region.
What is analysis?
This type of forecasting is done when 20-30 model runs are initiated with slightly different initial conditions each time.
What is ensemble?
What is analogue?