Deductive Reasoning
Conditional Reasoning
Bias
Overview of Heuristics
Overconfidence
100

Deductive Reasoning

What is begin with some specific premises that are generally true, and then judging whether those premises allow you to draw a conclusion, based on the principles of logic

100

The formal principles devised for solving tasks

What is propositional calculus

100

This occurs in reasoning when people make judgments based on prior beliefs and general knowledge, rather than the rules of logic

What is belief-bias effect

100

Who proposed a small number of heuristics guide human decision making

Who is Kahneman and Tversky

100

This occurs when people underestimate how quickly and easily one can complete a task

What is the planning fallacy

200

The most common kinds of deductive reasoning tasks

What is a conditional reasoning task
200

The 2 possible actions for working on a conditional reasoning task

What is affirming part of the sentence or denying part of the sentence
200

This uses top-down processing

What is belief-bias effect

200

This becomes a liability when applied too broadly

What is heuristics

200

This is a method for reducing overconfidence about decisions

What is the crystal-ball technique

300

This refers to quantities

What is syllogism

300

The following is an example of:

If the judge is fair, then Steve is the winner.

Steve is not the winner.

Therefore, the judge is not fair.

What is denying the consequent

300

This is when people try to confirm a hypothesis rather than disprove it

What is confirmation bias

300

A sample is likely if it is similar to the population the sample was taken from

What is representative heuristic

300
Overconfident people use this because they do not make large enough adjustments to original scenario

What is the anchoring and adjustment heuristic

400

Conditional reasoning tasks and syllogisms have what in common

What is they are both influenced by similar cognitive factors

400

This is a fast and automatic process

What is Type 1 Processing

400

This corresponds to theme 3 in our book: Cognitive processes handle positive information better than negative information

What is the confirmation bias
400

Estimate the frequency or probability in terms of how easy it is to think of relevant examples

What is availability heuristic

400

Who fails to consider the risks involved in warfare and other serious topics due to overconfidence

Who are powerful politicians

500

This is found more approachable than syllogisms

What is conditional reasoning
500

This is a slow and controlled process

What is Type 2 Processing

500

This found that people would rather know what is than what is not

What is the Watson selection task

500
The following is an example of:

Suppose you are asked which state has the largest theme park; California Disney Land or Florida Disney World. You live in Florida and have been to Disney World, but you have never been to California. You assume Florida has the largest theme park.

What is recognition heuristic

500

This describes the overconfidence that your own view is correct during confrontations

What is my-side bias