Risk vs Issue
Probability & Impact
Project scenarios
100

This is something that might happen in the future and could affect your project

100

 This means how likely a risk is to happen.

100

 Your tournament is next month, and the weather forecast shows a possibility of rain. Risk or issue?

200

 This is a problem that has already happened and requires action.

200

 A risk has a 90% chance of happening. Is its probability low, medium, or high?

200

The food vendor calls and says they cannot provide food for your tournament tomorrow. Risk or issue?

300

 True or False: A delayed shipment that hasn't happened yet is an issue.

300

 A risk could cause your project to lose $10,000. Would that likely be considered low or high impact?
 

300

 Your team identifies a risk that the event may go over budget. What could you do to reduce its impact?

Create a budget reserve, reduce unnecessary expenses, or monitor spending closely.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1wGaiHsxMJY&t=156s

400

 Your event's main speaker cancels the morning of the event. Risk or issue?

400

 Why is probability important when managing risks?

 It helps the team determine how likely a risk is to occur and which risks deserve attention.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1wGaiHsxMJY&t=92s



400

 Your biggest sponsor cancels one week before the tournament.

Find another sponsor, reduce expenses, seek additional funding, or modify the event.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1wGaiHsxMJY&t=174s

500

Your team believes there is a chance the venue could become unavailable before your event. What is this?

500

 A risk has a 70% chance of happening, but if it occurs, it barely affects the project. Should the team completely ignore it?

No. The team should still monitor it, but its low impact may mean it doesn't deserve the same attention as a high-impact risk.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1wGaiHsxMJY&t=117s

500

 Your tournament is tomorrow. A thunderstorm is expected, your main sponsor has canceled, and attendance is lower than expected. What should the project manager do first?

Assess and prioritize the problems based on their impact and urgency, then develop appropriate responses.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1wGaiHsxMJY&t=185s