Fill in the blank
“humans typically make _____ predictions than algorithms”
what is worse
The chance of something happening or being the case
What is probability
One of the political questions Philip Tetlock asked a group to predict was if this political power would be gone by 1993
What is the Soviet Union
"But prediction is also a _____ skill, it’s something that we can all become better at with practice"
Prejudice in favor of or against one thing, person, or group compared with another, usually in a way considered to be unfair
What is bias
The name given to forecasters who were top-preforming during Tetlock's research
What are super forecasters
"It appears that when you’re entering a new domain and trying to make predictions, _____ is a big advantage"
what is intelligence
predict or estimate (a future event or trend)
what is forecast
Philip Tetlock, the man who did most famous research on prediction, went to this University
What is University of Pennsylvania
"Forecasters who scored better on a test of political knowledge tended to make _____ predictions"
what is better
a change that is made to something, or the process of doing this
What is a revision
Tetlock concluded that these type of people, ones who are willing to consider new ideas, were more likely to make more accurate predictions
What is open-mided