Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Scenario 4
Scenario 5
100
Create a model of the outcomes.
What is B B B B B B B R R R R R R Y
100
Name an outcome with a probability of zero.
What is D, E, F, G....etc. (any letter other than A, B, or C.)
100
p(cash wheel, $1)
What is 1/24.
100
Make a tree diagram of the sample space.
your drawing should reflect all the possible outcomes.
100
You choose one marble, put it back in the bag, and choose a second marble. p(yellow then blue)
What is 7/48
200
p(blue)
What is 7/14 = 1/2
200
Name an outcome with a probability of 1/3.
What is B
200
p(cash wheel, any amount of money)
What is 1/4.
200
How many possible outcomes are there?
What is 24
200
You choose one marble, put it back in the bag, and choose a second marble. p(yellow then blue then orange)
What is 7/288
300
p(blue or red)
What is 13/14
300
If you picked a card and replaced it 60 times how many times would you expect to choose a B?
20 times
300
p( spin again, cash wheel, $0.10)
What is 1/24.
300
p(strawberry, caramel, M&M)
What is 1/24
300
You choose one marble, DO NOT put it back in the bag, and choose a second marble. p(yellow, red)
What is 0. (there are no reds)
400
You choose a marble and then replace it. What is p(blue then yellow).
1/28
400
If you picked a card and replaced it 48 times how many times would you expect to choose a D?
What is never or zero times.
400
You pay $1 to spin the prize wheel once. Is this a fair game? Explain your thinking.
No, it is not fair. In a fair game you have a 50/50 chance of winning. In this game it is more likely that you loose.
400
p(caramel or marshmallow)
What is 2/3
400
You choose one marble, DO NOT put it back in the bag, and choose a second marble. p(yellow, yellow)
What is 7/22
500
You choose a marble, do not replace it, and choose a second, What is p(blue, yellow)?
1/26
500
If you picked a card and replaced it 180 times how many times would you expect to choose a C?
What is 30 times.
500
James says it is likely, but not certain that he will win money on his first spin. Do you agree or disagree? Explain your thinking.
The word likely implies there is a good chance (around 3 out of 4 chances) he will win. In this game there is only a 1 in 4 chance he will win. That would better be described as an unlikely outcome.
500
If there are 72 students at the ice cream social how many would you expect to get p(strawberry, caramel, M&M)
What is 3 students
500
You choose one marble, DO NOT put it back in the bag, and choose the second marble, DO NOT replace it then choose the third marble. p(yellow, blue, orange)
What is 7/220