Classification and Partitions
Reading a Tree
Building a Tree
Proof of Independence
Reverse the Tree
100

A fair die is rolled. Write the sample space Ω.

What is Ω = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}?

100

The end of each complete path on a tree is called this.

What is a leaf?

100

Ω = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. P(E) = 1/2 and P(H | E) = 2/3. Find P(E and H).

What is  1/3 ?

100

Events A and B are independent when P(A) × P(B) equals this.

What is P(A and B)?

100

The bar in P(A | B) is read this way.

What is “given that”?

200

Two events with no outcomes in common are called this.

What is disjoint (mutually exclusive)? (A ∩ B = ∅)

200

To find the probability of a leaf, you do this to the branch probabilities on its path.

What is multiply?

200

Ω = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. Find P(E and L).

What is  1/6 ?

200

P(A) = 0.5, P(B) = 0.4, and P(A and B) = 0.2. Are A and B independent?

What is yes? (0.5 × 0.4 = 0.20)

200

P(A | B) equals P(A and B) divided by this.

What is P(B)?

300

Is {1, 2}, {3, 4}, {5, 6} a partition of Ω for one die?

What is yes? (The pieces don’t overlap and their union is Ω.)

300

The probabilities of all the leaves on a tree must add to this.

What is 1?

300

Ω = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. Find P(Eᶜ and H).

What is  1/6 ?

300

A fair die is rolled. A = roll even and B = roll greater than 3. Independent?

What is no? 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4 but  P(A and B) = 1/3 

300

The leaves J ∩ C and Jᶜ ∩ C have probabilities 0.20 and 0.06. Find P(C).

What is 0.26?

400

Is {1, 2, 3} and {3, 4, 5, 6} a partition of Ω? Explain.

What is no? (They overlap at 3, so they are not disjoint.)

400

A second-stage branch label such as P(B | A) is this type of probability.

What is conditional?

400

Ω = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. Add the leaves to find P(H).

What is  1/2 ? 

400

A fair die is rolled. A = {1, 2} and B = {1, 3, 5}. Independent?

What is yes?   P(A) = 1/3 and P(B) = 1/2, (1/2 * 1/3 = 1/6), and P(A and B) = 1/6  

400

P(J and C) = 0.20 and P(C) = 0.26. Find P(J | C).

What is  10/13 , about 0.77?

500

Let E = {2, 4, 6} and H = {4, 5, 6}. Write the chain of proper subsets from the leaf E ∩ H up to Ω.

What is {4, 6} ⊂ {2, 4, 6} ⊂ Ω?

500

Write the leaf for the path J then C in set notation, and give its subset relationship to J.

What is J ∩ C, with (J ∩ C) ⊂ J?

500

A bag has 3 red and 2 blue marbles. Two are drawn without replacement. Find P(R₁ and R₂)

What is  3/10 ?

500

P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.3, and P(A or B) = 0.72. Independent?

What is yes? (P(A and B) = 0.6 + 0.3 − 0.72 = 0.18 = 0.6 × 0.3)

500

2% of phones are defective (D). An inspector flags (F) 90% of defective phones and falsely flags 5% of good ones. Find P(D | F).

What is 18/67, about 0.27? (P(D and F) = 0.018 and P(Dᶜ and F) = 0.049, so P(F) = 0.067.)