ABC SPUR
In Prof. Hintz's silly mnemonic for remembering the main assumptions of structural/neorealism, this is the R.
What is the rational actor assumption?
This is a mental shortcut shaping information processing
What is a cognitive heuristic?
This is the subfield of economics in which Heuristics and Biases insights were developed and applied.
What is behavioral economics?
This 1962 event is at the center of Allison's governmental or bureaucratic politics model
What is the Cuban Missile Crisis?
This is the scholar who literally wrote the book on groupthink.
Who is Irving Janis
This is the B.
What is blackboxing?
This is the school of thought challenging "comprehensive rationality."
What is bounded rationality (or procedural rationality)?
This cognitive bias is shaped by individuals' personal, recent, and emotionally resonant experiences.
What is the availability bias?
This is the mechanism that explains otherwise odd or suboptimal decisions shaped by compromise, logrolling, and competition in BPM.
What is pulling and hauling?
Overestimation of the group, one symptom of groupthink, can stem from beliefs about this aspect of the group.
What is power, morality, superiority?
This is the A.
What is anarchy?
This is the individual credited with developing the school of bounded rationality.
Who is Herbert Simon?
This is the form of systematic error in decision-making produced by ego defense.
What is motivated/motivational bias?
According to BPM, where you sit in government should determine this.
What is where you stand on an issue/the stance you take on a decision.
These individuals, who protect the group's line of thinking from discordant information, can emerge throughout the decision-making process.
What are mindguards?
This is the P.
What is power?
This is the term for the revising of beliefs/utility calculations that Bounded Rationality demonstrates individuals do NOT always engage in.
What is Bayesian updating?
This systematic error leads decision-makers to believe that aggressive behavior comes from another leader's nature, rather than from circumstances.
What is the Fundamental Attribution Error?
In the case of President Obama's decision on a troop surge in Afghanistan, this individual (name and position) deviated from the expectations of BPM.
Who is Secretary of State Hilary Clinton?
This individual (name and position) resigned after the decision to launch an operation to rescue hostages in Iran was made, crucially, while he was on vacation.
Who is Secretary of State Cyrus Vance?
This is one of any of the actors the "S" assumption excludes.
What are non-state actors (IOs, INGOs, MNCs, terrorist groups)
This is the name for Gigerenzer and Goldstein's model of limited decision-making based on cues.
What is Take the Best (or Fast and Frugal)?
This bias is produced because individuals tend to see and seek patterns where they don't exist.
What is the representativeness bias?
Pulling and hauling shaped the Johnson administration's decision to announce, unexpectedly, the deployment of an ABM system deployed against this target.
What is China?
As the case of President George H. W. Bush demonstrates, the fiasco-inducing dynamics of groupthink can be countered if the leader has this quality.
What is experience in FP?