Critical or not
the highly uncertain, potentially high-impact developments are an example of _______ _______.
critical extremes
You can't predict the future but you can make an _____ ______.
educated guess.
You have to think of the _______.
unthinkable.
Each axes has a ____.
Tiltle
What feedback should you ask for?
Are the scenarios plausible?
Are they clear?
Are they relevant?
Do they seem internally consistent?
What’s missing?
What changes should be made?
To identify the critical uncertainties, it helps to plot them on a _____.
graph
Demographics are largely ________.
predetermined.
As time goes on, the range of possible future outcomes becomes _____.
greater
Opposites are placed on ____.
axes
Before scenerios have been made official or have been widely distributed, they should be thoroughly vetted by _______ ______ to the process.
knowledgeable outsiders
The cost of energy could be a ______ ______ for companies in many different industries.
critical uncertainty
Predetermined elements have a very ______ ______ of uncertainty.
Low Level
Who should be taken into account?
stakeholders
_____ _____ represent the different scenarious.
four quadrants
How do you flesh out scenario descriptions?
creating questions
Elements not critical to the organization but an important part to be considered are known as _____ _____.
Secondary Elements
Predetermined elements become more important if the _______ _______ is greater to the organization.
potential impact
as time goes on trends have had time to pick up ________, so they may have greater potential to have an impact.
momentum
It isn’t necessary, but it’s a good idea to give the ____ _ ____.
scenarios a name
The ideal result fleshing out the idea is a description of the ____ ____ ____.
future end state
The scale of measurement for elements are high to low _____ _____ and _____.
potential impact and Uncertainty
Demographic changes, for example, are largely predetermined by ______ ______.
long-term trends
Where do you want to focus?
critical extremes
What is the result of combining the two axes?
scenario cross
What is more important is to describe the ____ __ ____.
chain of causality