Strategic Foresight
Four different attitudes a person can have toward the future
What are Passive, Reactive, Preactive, Proactive?
Stage of the Prospective Process where you choose a bet or ideal scenario and define an action plan
What is Building the Future?
Three tools and methodologies used for understanding the context.
What are Megatrends Analysis, Delphi, and Marc Giget's Tree?
Zone/quadrant in the Indirect Influence/Dependence Map where the most influential and most dependent variables are found
What is Conflict Zone?
Thinking the unthinkable (low probability event with huge impact)
What is Wild Card?
Participatory process for building the future
What is Strategic Prospective?
Stage of the Prospective Process to identify variables and understand the experts' language
What is Context Understanding?
Three tools and methodologies for creating scenarios
What are Peter Schwartz's axes, Morphological Analysis, and Cross-Impact Matrix System (SMIC or Probabilized Scenarios)?
Those situations or socio-economic, political or cultural factors that are beyond the control of social actors and that are likely to be favorable if certain conditions or strengths are met by the object of study
What are Opportunities?
A process and products that expand our thinking and the limits of our mind maps in the future
What are Scenarios?
Quantitative approach to building the future
What is Forecasting?
Stage of the Prospective Process to analyze variables and actors’ relationships
What is Strategic Visualization?
Three tools and methodologies used for Strategic Visualization
What are SWOT analysis, Structural Analysis, and Actors' Game?
Limitations or lack of skills, knowledge, information, technology and financial resources suffered by the object of study that prevent the use of opportunities in the environment and the protection against threats
What are Weaknesses?
Scenarios that take into account trends and the present situation to predict the most likely future
What are exploratory scenarios?
Describes that change is definite, its impacts and repercussions are not
What is Uncertainty?
Stage of the Prospective Process where you create scenarios
What is Drawing the Futures?
Tool used to define the level of direct, indirect, and potential influence and dependence of the variables in a system
What is Structural Analysis (MICMAC)?
Area/quadrant of the Indirect Influence/Dependence Map that is characterized by its low influence and high dependence. It works as a descriptive indicator of the evolution of the system.
What is Output Zone?
Scenarios that seek the collective construction of the future to achieve the most desirable situation
What are normative scenarios?
The integration of Anticipation, Appropriation, and Action
What is Michel Godet's Greek Triangle?
Two scopes for futuring
What are Exploratory and Normative?
Tools and methodologies used for building the future and creating an action plan
What are Strategic Planning, Strategic Intelligence, and Game Theory?
Underlying forces that drive long-term shifts in behavior and attitudes (Political, Economical, Environmental, Social, and Technological).
What are Megatrend Drivers?