Funnel of Causality
Short-Term Forces
Parties & Issues
The Electoral College
Alternatives to the E.C.
100
This is the dependent variable at the narrow end of the funnel of causality (aka. what we are trying to predict).
What is vote choice.
100
These three components make up short-term forces in an election cycle. Name at least two.
What are candidates' personalities, the issues, and the parties' records.
100
This usually has to do with the ability of the parties to manage government, to keep the economy healthy, and to keep the country out of war.
What is Party Image.
100
This is how many votes each state gets in the Electoral College.
What is a number equal to the combined seats that it has in the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate.
100
Individuals who dislike the Electoral College, have suggested implementing a nation-wide popular election instead. Flanigan & Zingale (2010) state that a major problem with the proposed alternative is this.
What is that the percentage of the vote needed to win would shrink, undermining the legitimacy of the winner.
200
In the Funnel of Causality, these factors are closest to vote choice and most predictive of how an individual will vote.
What are Issues Attitudes/Evaluations of Parties & Candidates.
200
In the absence of any information about candidates and issues or other short-term forces in an election, individuals can be expected to vote according to this.
What is their Partisanship.
200
This political party is viewed as best able to keep the country out of war.
What is the Republican Party.
200
When a voter votes in an election, he or she is not actually casting a ballot for President, but is instead casting a ballot for this group.
What is the Party's Slate of Electors.
200
This type of alternative to the E.C. could have messy recounts, like in Florida in 2000.
What is the Instant Run-off.
300
Social Characteristics are at the wide end of the funnel of causality. True or False: That means that social characteristics are the best predictors of vote choice.
What is False.
300
True or False: Presidential candidates of both parties are viewed less favorably now than in the past.
What is True.
300
Collections of voters who care intensely about a particular issue are called this.
What are Single-Issue voters.
300
To win the Electoral College, a Presidential candidate must receive this many votes.
What is 270.
300
Unlike the other 48 states, Maine and Nebraska use this method to select electors to the E.C.
What is the District method.
400
In the Funnel of Causality, partisanship and ideology are in the middle and are examples of these factors?
What are Long-term Predispositions.
400
It is difficult to create and alter candidate images. This type of candidate has the greatest opportunity to create a favorable image during the relatively brief period of the campaign,
Who are Presidential candidates who are less well known.
400
Candidates can't change their job experience, religion, or party, during a campaign. However, to win support, they can change these.
What are their issue positions.
400
Is it possible to win the popular vote, but lose in the Electoral College?
What is Yes.
400
The proportional method would allocate all of the electoral votes on a statewide basis, but through proportional representation instead of to the plurality winner. Flanigan & Zingale (2010) argue that this is a problem with the proportional method.
What is there is little incentive for states to adopt this method, because they would then become unattractive to candidates.
500
This is the central focus of research on American political behavior.
What is Vote Choice.
500
According to Mo Fiorina, this occurs when voters use the evaluation of past performance as an indicator of future performance.
What is Retrospective Assessment.
500
True or false: State and Local party images are the same as National party images.
What is False.
500
If a Presidential Candidate loses the Popular Vote, but wins a plurality of Electoral College votes, is he/she declared the winner?
What is No. He/she is only the winner if he/she has won the majority of Electoral College votes.
500
This is the best alternative to the current Electoral College system.
What is we don't know. Make an argument for your preferred alternative OR to maintain the current system.